Oscars Predictions 2016

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Double Feature:  Oscar Predictions 2016

We’re one day away from snarking all over the Academy’s myopia…er live blogging the Oscars.  This will be our third year making predictions for the big show, and as fate would have it, we are all tied up.  In our first year, Neil took the honors, only missing one category in his predictions.  In last year’s contest, Erik struck back and edged out a win in a year with quite a few long shot upsets.  This year, we’re playing for bragging rights…and if the Academy can’t get its house in order, the results from this year may stand for quite a while.  Here are our picks.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][vc_column width=”1/1″][vc_column_text]

Best Supporting Actress

The Nominees:

Jennifer Jason Leigh,  The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara,  Carol
Rachel McAdams,  Spotlight
Alicia Vikander,   The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

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Erik’s Pick:

Tough choices here as all the nominees had impactful performances. This category is really anyone’s guess. The Studios are pushing hard for Vikander and Mara so one of those two may be a safer bet to land the golden little man. Jennifer Jason Leigh was an absolute force in Hateful Eight and she may be my favorite of the bunch, but I am going with my gut, and giving my nod to Hollywood royalty – Kate Winslet

 

Winner: Kate Winslet

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Neil’s Pick:

Best Actress and Best Supporting Actress are difficult categories because they so seldom coincide with Best Picture this year.  Therefore, you really had to go seek these performances out.  While I enjoyed Rachel McAdams in Spotlight, I didn’t see her as being in the top three performances of just that film, let alone all films.  I have to give it to Alicia Vikander, whose performance many said was the only reason to sit through The Danish Girl.  I just wish she had been nominated for her amazing performance in Ex Machina instead.

Winner:  Alicia Vikander

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Best Supporting Actor

The Nominees:

Christian Bale,   The Big Short
Tom Hardy,   The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed

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Erik’s Pick:

I really like Bale here, as I believe he had the best performance of the group.Tom Hardy is the new darling starring in three major smash hits this year. Double R as I like to call them, Ruffalo and Rylance may sneak in but I feel it’s unlikely. So I’m going to choose the ageless, walking talking lab experiment in Sylvester Stallone. Not only is he a poster boy for why everyone should be on HGH, But Sly is a longtime favorite here at Deluxe Video Online and I’d be remiss (like that traitor in the right column) not to cast my vote his way. Combine that stunning endorsement with a memorable reprisal of the Iconic Rocky Balboa role and you have a winner.

Winner: Sylvester Stallone

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Neil’s Pick:

A lot of decent performances here.  Erik was certainly impressed with Bale in The Big Short,  I thought Rylance’s role in Bridge of Spies was excellent, and Tom Hardy was the only really concrete character in The Revenant.  So I’m picking Mark Ruffalo.  Without his character, that movie would have been lost, and he was so good I thought he merited a Best Actor, not just Best Supporting.

Winner:  Mark Ruffalo

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Best Director

The Nominees:

Adam McKay, The Big Short
George Miller,  Mad Max: Fury Road
Alejandro Inarritu,   The Revenant
Lenny Abrahamson,  Room
Tom McCarthy,  Spotlight

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Erik’s Pick:

I’m not even going to try to make an argument for anyone else here. This is the 70-year-old Miller’s first nomination ever. He had one of the biggest movies of the year, and the whole Mad Max series are considered classics in cinema. While Inarittu could be a potential spoiler, I can hardly fathom it happening. The only way the Academy could screw up bigger than this is to put Miller in the “In Memoriam” segment.  Sigh.

Winner: George Miller

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Neil’s Pick:

Ah, Best Director…or as I like to call it, Best Picture Lite.  This is a consolation prize for the film that didn’t fondle enough balls to get the big prize.  Odds makers have Inarritu running away with this, but I think The Revenant wasn’t all that hot.  It was beautiful, but stilted, under-acted and way too long.  All three of those gripes are on his head.  In comparison, I think George Miller get every ounce out of Mad Max and created shots that we will probably never ever see attempted, let alone achieved, again in our lifetimes.

Winner:  George Miller

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Best Actor

The Nominees:

Bryan Cranston,  Trumbo
Matt Damon,  The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio,  The Revenant
Michael Fassbender,  Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne,  The Danish Girl

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Erik’s Pick:

The academy has been notoriously shutting DiCaprio down for years. This is the year they kiss and make up, and all it took was Leo to get mauled by a bear. Matt Damon will never sniff another Oscar again, and Fassbender is the only other talent to recieve any sort critical support. But Steve Jobs? I think some of the nominated shorts grossed more.

Winner: Leonardo DiCaprio

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Neil’s Pick:

Unless the Academy decides to honor an actor for being in a film nobody saw, this is really a two horse race.  Once again, bookies have everyone associated with The Revenant making out like bandits tomorrow.  I just don’t see it.  Sure Leo ate raw meat and slept inside a dead horse, but as far as acting was concerned he just croaked out a few lines and then proceeded to foam at the mouth for an hour.  I found Matt Damon’s performance in The Martian to be a whole lot more engaging, and if you want to make this a tough man contest, he put his body through hell to sell this role as well.

Winner:  Matt Damon

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Best Actress

The Nominees:

Cate Blanchett,  Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence,  Joy
Charlotte Rampling,  45 Years
Saoirse Ronan,  Brooklyn

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Erik’s Pick:

While Mara and Vikander are sexy picks because of coming off their SAG nominations, and are receiving major pushes from the studios, this race isn’t even close. Brie Larson’s stock is on the rise after her win at the Golden Globes, and while you should never say a gal is a “Sure Thing” Larson most certainly is.

Winner:  Brie Larson

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Neil’s Pick:

I don’t even think this one is a contest.  Once again, you’ve got a ton of films that literally no one watched.  Oh, there is that one film about the plucky creator of the wonder mop…holy shit, David O Russell, I know the Academy will nominate you for anything, but seriously, the fucking wonder mop story?  They might as well air-mail the statue to Brie Larson today, save her the effort of trying to walk gracefully through all of the people protesting how goddamn white this whole game of grab-ass has become.

Winner:  Brie Larson

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Best Picture

The Nominees:

Bridge of Spies
The Big Short
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight

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Erik’s Pick:

I enjoyed most of these films, but not a single one of them made an Impression on me like last years winner: Birdman. This category is up for grabs and the only wrong pick is here Brooklyn. I am doubling down on this being Leo’s big Oscar “coming out party” with selecting him and Revenant in two of my picks.

Winner: The Revenant

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Neil’s Pick:

Why are there so many more Best Picture nominees than any other category?  Oh, right, more palms to grease.  So this category I have seen the most films for, and have the least clue about.  I just didn’t think much of the Revenant, which leaves me with a handful of films that I liked, but don’t think are unanimously awesome.  At the end of the day, I’m going to have to go with the film that made the biggest impression on me, Spotlight.

Winner:  Spotlight

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Tie Breaker Category

In case of a tie, we’ll fall back on a Hail Mary pass and pick in a category we hardly bothered to cover.  This one will only count in case of a tie at the end of the big show.

Best Animated Feature

The Nominees:

Anomalisa
Boy and the World
Inside Out
Shaun the Sheep
When Marnie Was There

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Erik’s Pick:

My heart say’s Shaun The Sheep, it was lovable, and a true labor of love by Aardman Studios. What Shaun The Sheep managed was infinitely harder than any other film in this category managed to do. However I don’t dare to step in the way of the machine that is Pixar.

Winner: Inside Out

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Neil’s Pick:

OK, going to have to make a gamble based on low information.  I liked what Anomalisa attempted, but it was essentially a puppet laden Woody Allen film, and dry as toast.  When Marnie was There was beautiful and poignant, two traits that never matter for diddley poo in this category.  Plus it’s Japanese, which the Academy apparently HATES.  So I have to say that in line with last years win, Inside Out takes this year’s prize.

Winner:  Inside Out

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