Our picks for the major categories are locked, alongside our traditional Best Animated tie breaker pick.
Here we go again. Time to make the wagers and gamble on who we think will win big this evening. This year has quite a bit more variety than usual, and not just because Nate is making his picks by rolling a dice. A compressed schedule between nominations and the ceremony made catching everything a real pain this year. I think that chaos means that voters are going to be a lot more unpredictable as well.
We’ll be podcasting the ceremony live again this year. If you want to see how the picks are falling into place but don’t want to sit through the entire ceremony, check in here at Deluxe Video Online where we’ll keep the winners posted.
Oscars 2020: Staff Predictions.
- Ford V Ferrari
- The Irishman
- Jojo Rabbit
- Little Women
- Marriage Story
- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Neil’s Pick: 1917.
War flicks are Oscar catnip, and you have one hell of a war flick here. The technical artistry makes me want to reverse my Film/Director split, but I think 1917 has the wind at its back with current popularity, receipts, and recent wins elsewhere. 1917 gets Best Film and Cinematography, Bong gets his wins elsewhere.
Nate’s Pick: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood.
This year, I decided to leave all my prayers at the altar of RNG-sus. I used Bing to put the choices in order, and a random number generator to pick… my pick. Let’s see how random chance does this year!
Erik’s Pick: Parasite.
The Best picture was an agonizing choice this year for me. 1917 should win this as it is a work of art, is technically precise and the dialogue is seamless. To boot 1917 is a war flick and the Academy historically loves these types of films.
While I loved Joker and felt it entertained on many levels. let’s be real, will the academy allow a comic book movie win? While Joker not only entertained, it wrestled with mental illness, cocietal constructs and had a killer performance by Joaquin Phoenix. Joker deserves a win here.
Parasite is unexpectedly brilliant. However, Parasite has the deck stacked against it being a foreign language film and not one nominated best actor/actress. Historically films like this don’t win but I’m going all-in on the upset.
- Boing Joon-Ho, Parasite
- Sam Mendes, 1917
- Todd Phillips, Joker
- Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
- Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Neil’s Pick: Bong Joon-Ho.
I think the Academy does the rare Best Film/Director split to accommodate two very good movies.
Nate’s Pick: Sam Mendes.
The Passion of the Dice demands it.
Erik’s Pick: Sam Mendes.
I feel like this is a lock especially if 1917 doesn’t get best picture.
- Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
- Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
- Adam Driver, Marriage Story
- Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
- Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
Neil’s Pick: Joaquin Phoenix.
This seems hand-picked for him. The only upset I could see would be Antonio Banderas, who seems like the dark horse favorite.
Nate’s Pick: Jonathan Pryce.
My matrices picked the patriarchy. Go (random) figure.
Erik’s Pick: Joaquin Phoenix.
Is there any question?
- Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
- Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
- Soairse Ronan, Little Women
- Charlize Theron, Bombshell
- Renee Zellweger, Judy
Neil’s Pick: Cynthia Erivo.
For one, the Academy would be suicidal to not give an award to the only person of color they bothered to nominate. For two, they LOVE movies with people of color playing noble slaves. For three, Cynthia Erivo is a force of fucking nature in everything she’s been in.
Nate’s Pick: Renee Zellweger.
For a random number generator, this thing likes to spit the number 5 out. A lot.
Erik’s Pick: Renee Zellweger.
It’s not even close.
Best Supporting Actor:
- Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
- Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
- Al Pacino, The Irishman
- Joe Pesci, The Irishman
- Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Neil’s Pick: Joe Pesci.
This year seems dominated by the old guard, and giving Pesci an award for coming out of retirement (and being the only part of The Irishman I liked) seems fitting.
Nate’s Pick: Brad Pitt.
Erik, are you sure you aren’t using the same RNG I am?
Erik’s Pick: Brad Pitt.
Outside of the academy awarding Deniro or Pesci a win as a sympathy vote for their swan song, Brad Pitt will not go home empty-handed.
Best Supporting Actress:
- Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
- Laura Dern, Marriage Story
- Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
- Florence Pugh, Little Women
- Margot Robbie, Bombshell
Neil’s Pick: Scarlett Johansson.
You don’t get nominated for two best acting awards and go home empty-handed. The Academy is locked into best actress, so here’s Scar Jo’s make up prize.
Nate’s Pick: Margot Robbie.
My stochastic soothsayer seems to like Robbie as much I do.
Erik’s Pick: Laura Dern.
Marriage Story was a good flick and Dern deserves the recognition.
Best Animated Feature:
Neil’s Pick: Missing Link.
That stormy ocean scene. That. Scene.
Nate’s Pick: How to Train Your Dragon.
I finalize my augury by adventitious appointment with the animated film I probably would have picked LAST, if I was using my own brain. Brains are overrated, if the last 3 years have shown us anything.
Erik’s Pick: Missing Link.
Who knows?! Toy story should win this but how many times can Toy Story win this?! I’m going with Missing Link, it honestly is a toss-up.